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Reprinted by permission of
Charles Rathbone. |
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"The Effectiveness of Taxi Partitions: The Baltimore Case"
Prepared for
The Southeastern Transportation Center
University of Tennessee - Knoxville
June 1999
John R. Stone and Daniel C. Stevens
Department of Civil Engineering
North Carolina State University
Raleigh, North Carolina
Abstract
This report addresses the controversy concerning the effectiveness of taxi shields
(partitions) by using case study and statistical analysis. It answers questions
concerning whether or not shields reduce assaults on taxi drivers and by inference
taxi driver homicides. Following a city-wide shield mandate in 1996 case study data
show that for the City of Baltimore the percentage of shielded taxis rose from about
50% in 1995 to 100% in 1996 for the 1,151 licensed Baltimore cabs. Comparing the
12-month periods before and after the mandate the data shows that assaults on taxi
drivers decreased 56%. Data also show that between the years 1991 when only 5% of
the cabs had shields and 1997 when all did, assaults decreased 88%. Unless accounted
for analytically, confounding factors such as annual changes in city crime rates,
robberies, unemployment, and drug use could also contribute to the assault reduction.
However, by comparing the assault rate for a shielded taxi association in 1991 with
another similar, but unshielded, taxi association eliminates time varying confounding
factors. This analysis shows that an unshielded Baltimore taxi driver in 1991 was five
times more likely to experience assaults. Using linear regression to account for the
time variation of the factors over the period 1991 to 1997, results indicate that
reduced driver assaults correlated most highly with percentage taxis shielded. Average
case study data, statistical tests and linear regressions show that assaults on taxi
drivers are significantly related to shield installation. A related economic analysis
yielded a 17-to-1 benefit-to-cost ratio of estimated savings from reduced injuries
versus the costs of citywide shield installation. Thus, this study supports the use of
shields in Baltimore for the case study licensed taxis. The results also argue for
shields elsewhere, such as Baltimore County, and for other cities with conditions
similar to those in Baltimore.
To obtain a copy of the report
"The Effectiveness of Taxi Partitions: The Baltimore Case" contact:
Ms. DeAnna Flinchum
Asst. Director, Southeastern Transportation Center
600 Henley St. Suite 309
Knoxville, TN 37996-4133
423/974-5255
flinchum@utk.edu
A copy of the report in Word format is available in the Taxi-L significant documents archive.
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